With the numerous trends to monitor to reduce corporate risk, improve business strategy, and reveal untapped opportunities, it can be difficult to sort through what’s important to focus on. RPS has highlighted the top trends that unfolded at the beginning of 2020 and reviews how these trends will shape 2021.
With 2020 officially over, RPS reflects on how these ESG topics evolved in the U.S. over the course of the year, influencing the outlook for 2021. Although COVID threw a wrench into how the year unfolded, we still saw developments in all these areas, and COVID itself forced businesses to accelerate certain ESG trends, particularly with respect to human capital.
Increase in Extreme Weather Events
2020 brought significant extreme weather events that revealed the potential magnitude of annual impacts posed by climate change. Last year in the U.S., we witnessed:
In recognition of the risks climate change poses to businesses (and as a result of increased stakeholder pressure), financial institutions and corporates turned attention to various climate-related initiatives; 2020 brought a wave of “net zero” climate commitments from international governments, corporations, and investment firms. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) reported that 2020 saw a three-fold increase in net-zero commitments from companies (1,541 in 2020, up from approximately 500 in 2019).
Recognition of the importance of human capital was on the rise in 2020 before the COVID pandemic. However, COVID-19 put human capital and social issues at the forefront of businesses. The World Economic Forum stated that COVID-19 “has brought a renewed focus on human capital and employees, from its impact on pay programs to employee well-being”. A UNPRI survey found that 64% of respondents believed that COVID “brought social issues that were not already a priority onto their radar. These include areas such as occupational health and safety, social safety nets, worker protection, responsible purchasing practices and supply chain issues, as well as diversity and digital rights, including privacy.” According to Blackrock, 88% of sustainable funds outperformed non-sustainable counterparts from January through April 2020; presumably, these funds would account for strong corporate performers in human capital areas, positioning them to communicate to their employees effectively, implement crisis management and health/safety protocols, and transition their employees to a remote working environment.
Reflecting on the trends of 2020, we anticipate similar macro trends to continue in 2021.
Continued COVID-19 fallout
No one predicted a global pandemic as potential negative macro-economic factor prior to the emergence of the coronavirus. The coronavirus fallout will likely continue through 2021, including bankruptcies, unemployment rate changes, continued remote working, supply chain resiliency planning, and changes to the real estate industry, to name a few. Variant strains may also produce new ripple effects, prolonging complete recovery. However, the business world has largely figured out how to navigate the current challenges and keep the economy moving, and with the COVID-19 vaccine distribution underway, the major business disruptions caused by the virus are likely nearing an end.
With a new EPA administration, certain environmental regulatory rollbacks that occurred under the previous administration will likely be reversed. The EPA is also expected to focus on both environmental justice (including air quality, drinking water, and emerging chemicals of concern) and climate change; rejoining the Paris Agreement became an immediate action item for the Biden administration. Others have reported that the SEC may require mandatory climate change related disclosures. Extreme weather events related to climate change are also likely here to stay for the near, medium, and long term, and businesses will continue to adapt to manifestations. The New York Times recently reported that the SEC may also include focus on reforming political donation disclosures.
ESG integration into financial asset management vehicles is expanding and here to stay. Investor pressure, consumer preferences, and regulatory changes will likely drive financial institutions to continue increasing ESG integration. Continued alignment of different disclosure frameworks to create uniform disclosures will be key to streamline disclosure processes for corporations and information gathering for investors.
RPS is monitoring these trends and we have applied our technical expertise internally to strengthen the sustainability of our own business. 2021 presents as many opportunities as challenges and we are focused on our key stakeholders: our people, our clients, and our investors.
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